中国石化新闻网

中石化新闻讯 据2月27日Rigzone报导，石油价格创出上年11月至今较大 下滑，美金走高及其紧紧围绕通货膨胀的忧虑令创出了近年来最好是主要表现的石油市场耐压。

周五，纽约市商品期货下挫3.2%，美金走高减少了以美金计费的大宗商品现货的诱惑力。殊不知，因为全世界库存量趋于紧张、要求回暖，美原油标准2月仍完成了近18%的上涨幅度。依据美政府的数据信息，它是2020年英国中国石油生产量四年来初次降低。

Tyche Capital Advisors全世界宏观经济方案负责人Tariq Zahir表明:“从大家近期见到的行情看来，价钱下滑的风险性要大一些。要想再次上涨，要求务必大幅度回暖。”

石油价格创出近年来当期较大 上涨幅度，一部分缘故是opec 生产量限定有利于耗费全世界库存量。除此之外，摩根银行(JPMorgan Chase Co.)的数据信息表明，近期史无前例的寒潮造成 英国上百万桶石油停工，这代表着能源需求的供货比先前预估的每日紧缺约十万桶也要多。伴随着北海油田开展规模性维护保养，供货紧缺很有可能在未来几个月恶变。

opec以及友军将决策原油生产量水准，虽然乌克兰早已表明，它趋向于进一步降低限产，但某国2月的原油生产量小于其opec 总体目标，这代表着它无法灵活运用1月份opec 大会后出示的更无私的配额制。

总公司坐落于马萨诸塞州斯坦福大学德的Tradition Energy负责人加莫?坎宁安(Gary Cunningham)表明:“大家都了解，opec恢复生产的意愿已经弥漫着销售市场。全世界原油供货的不断降低将在于opec修复是多少生产量，及其沙特的原油生产量。”

在价钱层面，西得克萨斯州中质石油4月份交割价钱下挫2.03美金，合同价为一桶61.50美金；英国标准石油价格这周增涨3.8%，将于周五期满的4月份国际原油合同价下挫75便士，收在一桶66.13美元；这周该合同增涨5.1%；买卖更加活跃性的5月份合同下挫1.69美元，收在一桶64.42美元；周四国债回报率飙涨，说明通货膨胀加快很有可能造成 财政政策适用幅度下降。在肺炎疫情期内，财政政策适用推动风险资产增涨。虽然自此全世界证券市场早已稳中有进，但假如财政政策不那麼比较宽松，很有可能会对大宗商品现货销售市场造成链式反应。

瑞穗证券(Mizuho Securities)期货交易单位负责人鲍勃?耶格尔(Bob Yawger)表明，“石油处在非常超买地区将发生回调函数。除此之外，投资人“依然担忧年利率会上涨。”

在别的能源需求信息层面，洲际交易所表明，它准备再次对2022年6月后期满、已拥有未强制平仓合同的国际原油有关合同应用FOB市场价。

Oil fell the most since November with a stronger dollar and concerns surrounding inflation weighing on crude’s best start to the year on record.

Futures in New York declined 3.2% on Friday, with a rising dollar reducing the appeal of commodities priced in the currency. Yet, the U.S. crude benchmark still managed to post a nearly 18% gain this month as inventories worldwide tighten and pockets of demand return. Domestic crude production dropped in 2020 for the first time in four years, according to the U.S. government.

“Prices have a little bit more risk to the downside from the recent run that we’ve seen,” said Tariq Zahir, managing member of the global macro program at Tyche Capital Advisors LLC. “To continue going higher from here, demand has to come back pretty substantially.”

Crude prices have notched the largest year-to-date gain than in any year prior for the same time period, in part due to OPEC production curbs helping to deplete global stockpiles. Plus, the unprecedented cold blast that recently halted millions of barrels of U.S. output means oil markets are about 100,000 barrels a day tighter than previously thought, according to JPMorgan Chase Co. Supply scarcity may worsen in the coming months as North Sea fields undergo major maintenance.

The Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies will meet next week to decide on output levels. While Russia has signaled it favors a further easing of production cuts, the country’s oil output dipped below its OPEC target this month, meaning it failed to take full advantage of the more generous quota it was afforded after January’s OPEC meeting.

“We all know the OPEC return to production is looming over the market pretty strongly,” said Gary Cunningham, director at Stamford, Connecticut-based Tradition Energy. Continued declines in global supplies will “depend on how much production OPEC brings back and whether or not the sanctions on Iran are lifted.”

West Texas Intermediate for April delivery fell $2.03 to settle at $61.50 a barrel

The U.S. crude benchmark rose 3.8% this week

Brent for April settlement, which expires on Friday, declined 75 cents to end the session at $66.13 a barrel.

The more actively traded May contract declined $1.69 to settle at $64.42 a barrel.

Soaring bond yields on Thursday were the latest sign that accelerating inflation could trigger a pullback in monetary policy support that has helped fuel gains in risky assets during the pandemic. While global bonds have since stabilized, a less accommodative approach to monetary policy could have ripple effects across commodity markets.

“Crude oil was in super overbought territory,” and due for a pullback, said Bob Yawger, head of the futures division at Mizuho Securities. Plus, investors are “still anxious about rates ripping higher.”

ICE said it intends to continue to use a FOB reference for contracts related to Dated Brent that expire after June 2022 that already have open interest, according to a circular.